MDP DATA FOR PROJECTED ENROLLMENT 6.4 Maryland Department of Planning • 301 West Preston Street, Suite 1101 • Baltimore • Maryland • 21201 Tel: 410.767.4500 • Toll Free: 1.877.767.6272 • TTY users: Maryland Relay • Planning.Maryland.gov Wes Moore, Governor Aruna Miller, Lt. Governor Rebecca L. Flora, AICP, LEED ND / BD+C, Secretary Kristin R. Fleckenstein, Deputy Secretary RR March 22, 2024 Dr. Micah Stauffer Superintendent Wicomico County Public Schools 2424 Northgate Drive Salisbury, MD 21802 Dear Dr. Stauffer: Maryland Department of Planning (MDP) is transmitting its annual Public School Enrollment Projections update for your jurisdiction’s review, in accordance with the regulations of the Interagency Commission on School Construction (IAC). MDP is requesting your evaluation and written response to our latest school enrollment projections by April 22, 2024.These enrollment projections are being sent prior to preparation and printing of our publication, Public School Enrollment Projections 2024 - 2033. A final version of this document, containing projections for the entire State, each of the 23 counties and Baltimore City, will be posted online on the Maryland Department of Planning’s State Data Center’s website when it becomes available in late August or early September. For planning purposes, these data represent a reasonable scenario for the future, given recent and long-term birth, migration and demographic patterns. These public school enrollment projections reflect: a) Population Projections: MDP's population projections (total population and school age populations) through 2033 with a 2020 Census baseline. These projections were last revised in December 2023. b) Birth Information: This includes actual births for calendar year 2021 from the Maryland Department of Health (MDH), Division of Vital Statistics. We are using birth data provided by MDH geocoded for the mother’s jurisdictional address. Births are then estimated for School Year (SY) 2023 and are projected for SY 2024 through SY 2033 based on our latest population projections through 2033. Relevant historical and projected birth projections are then reformulated into “kindergarten and first grade-eligible” births based on current age requirements for these two grades. c) 2022 preliminary birth data show lower births following the pandemic. We adjusted our birth projections accordingly and this shows lower school enrollment 223
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