Wicomico County Public Schools | EFMP FY2026 c) Since the pandemic, private school enrollment and homeschooling have been higher. If these trends continue, growth in public-school enrollment would decline. Enclosed are the following materials for your review: 1. Public school enrollments by grade a. Historical enrollments, 2014 - 2024 b. Historical 2024 and projected 2025 - 2034 enrollments 2. Historical grade succession ratios 3. Alternative public school enrollment projection scenarios based on the historical grade succession ratios (item 2 above). The ratios selected in preparing the public school enrollment scenarios, item 1b above, are underlined. 4. The ratios of kindergarten-to-births and first grade-to-births, historical and projected. This page also includes birth data transformed from calendar year to kindergarteneligible births and first grade-to-birth ratios (2025 to 2034), used in preparing the public school enrollment projections (item 1b above). MDP recognizes MSDE K-12 September 2024 enrollment figures as the official enrollment for 2024/25 school year. We are providing this information electronically to you and your Education Facilities Planner as an aid in your school enrollment planning processes. Projections used in your Educational Facilities Master Plan (EFMP) must be within five percent of those generated by MDP. Please send your school system's official written response to our projections. Your reply must include a copy of the school district’s enrollment projections. If the difference between your projections and MDP’s is greater than five percent, we will schedule a meeting to discuss the differences so that we can agree on the projections to be used in the Educational Facilities Master Plan. If you disagree with MDP’s projection, your reply must include an explanation of the methodology you used to prepare your projections. The deadline for your reply is April 30, 2025. Please send electronic copies to MDP’s Mary Daughton at mary.daughton1@maryland.gov. You can also mail hardcopies to MDP at 120 East Baltimore Street, Baltimore 21202, but only do so if you cannot send electronic copies. If you have any questions or need additional information, you can contact Alfred Sundara, Director, State Data and Analysis Center, at alfred.sundara@maryland.gov. Sincerely, Rebecca L. Flora, AICP 222
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